1. Concerning scenario conditions, the main parameters of the forecast for the social and economic development of the Russian Federation and the caps on prices (tariffs) of the products (services) provided by natural monopolies for 2011 and the planning period of 2012-2013
The scenario conditions and the main parameters of the social and economic development in 2011-2013 have been prepared with several possibilities. All the forecast possibilities are based on relatively conservative assessments of external conditions and differ in the quality of economic growth.
The main forecast possibilities –1b and 2b -- are based on the assumption of a comparatively steady recovery of the world economy driven by the expected growth of the economies of the United States, China, Southeast Asia and India and a moderate growth of the prices of Urals oil to $78-79 per barrel in 2012-2013.
The conservative possibility 1b assumes a continuing risk of low investment demand, low consumer demand, wages in the public sector remaining at the 2009 level and a slow recovery of credit activity. The economy may grow at an annual rate of 2.6-3.1%.
The moderately optimistic possibility 2b assumes a more rapid economic recovery as a result of the maximization of growth potential driven by increased effectiveness in business, the increase of bank lending and the stimulation of economic growth and modernization. In 2011-2013, the government implements a more active policy aimed at developing transport infrastructure, science and technology, housing and public utilities, regional development and a moderate policy of regulation on power tariffs. Along with the rationalization of the system of budget financed institutions after 2010, wages in the public sector are to be adjusted for inflation. The GDP in 2010-2013 is to grow by 3.4-4.2%.
Additional possibilities have been prepared that assume different dynamics of oil prices and rates of growth of the world economy. Possibility 1a assumes that the price of Urals oil in 2012-2013 drops to $62-68 per barrel due to a slowdown of the growth of the world economy to 2.7-3.3%. This possibility takes account of the risks of a lower growth rate of demand for hydrocarbons, the risks connected with increased oil supply from Iraq, and the growing production of shale gas and increased spot sales of gas, which may drive gas prices down compared with those of other commodities. Adapting the Russian economy to this pessimistic scenario of the development of the world economy would require a significant devaluation of the rouble and would involve a slowdown of the growth rate.
Possibility 2c is based on a more optimistic forecast of the world economy emerging from the crisis, assuming a higher level of demand for energy and the resumption of the growth of oil prices to $85 per barrel in 2012 and $90 per barrel in 2013.
Possibility 2b is offered as the basis for determining the parameters of the federal budget for 2011-2013.
Main parameters of the forecast of the social and economic development of the Russian Federation for 2009-2013
|
|
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
|
Urals oil prices (world), U.S.dollars per barrel |
|||||
|
2c |
61.1 |
79 |
81 |
85 |
90 |
|
2b |
75 |
75 |
78 |
79 |
|
|
1b |
75 |
75 |
78 |
79 |
|
|
1a |
75 |
75 |
68 |
62 |
|
|
Gross domestic product, growth rate in % |
|||||
|
2c |
92.1
|
104.5 |
103.7 |
103.9 |
104.4 |
|
2b |
104.0 |
103.4 |
103.5 |
104.2 |
|
|
1b |
103.1 |
102.6 |
102.7 |
103.1 |
|
|
1a |
103.1 |
102.6 |
102.4 |
102.3 |
|
|
Industry, % |
|||||
|
2c |
89.2 |
103.0 |
103.7 |
103.6 |
104.4 |
|
2b |
102.7 |
103.2 |
103.1 |
104.2 |
|
|
1b |
101.9 |
102.5 |
102.7 |
103.2 |
|
|
1a |
101.9 |
102.5 |
102.3 |
102.0 |
|
|
Investments in basic assets, % |
|||||
|
2c |
83.8 |
104.4 |
109.2 |
106.6 |
108.7 |
|
2b |
102.9 |
108.8 |
106.3 |
108.1 |
|
|
1b |
102.4 |
103.2 |
103.3 |
105.0 |
|
|
1a |
102.4 |
103.2 |
101.9 |
101.7 |
|
|
Real wages, % |
|||||
|
2c |
97.2 |
103.9 |
102.9 |
103.1 |
103.7 |
|
2b |
103.6 |
102.5 |
102.4 |
103.1 |
|
|
1b |
103.5 |
101.4 |
101.3 |
102.7 |
|
|
1a |
103.4 |
101.4 |
101.1 |
102.0 |
|
|
Retail trade volume, % |
|||||
|
2c |
95.1 |
105.2 |
105.2 |
105.2 |
106.4 |
|
2b |
104.8 |
104.5 |
104.8 |
106.3 |
|
|
1b |
103.9 |
103.9 |
104.0 |
105.3 |
|
|
1a |
103.9 |
103.9 |
103.1 |
102.9 |
|
|
Total export, billions of dollars |
|||||
|
2c |
303.4 |
387.9 |
408.9 |
437.5 |
467.3 |
|
2b |
373.4 |
383.8 |
402.9 |
416.8 |
|
|
1b |
373.2 |
382.2 |
397.6 |
409.4 |
|
|
1a |
373.2 |
382.2 |
354.6 |
329.2 |
|
|
Total import, billions of dollars |
|||||
|
2c |
191.8 |
243.5 |
285.3 |
324.9 |
370.5 |
|
2b |
237.5 |
273.7 |
304.5 |
338.7 |
|
|
1b |
231.8 |
258.7 |
282.6 |
308.4 |
|
|
1a |
231.8 |
2258.7 |
272.4 |
275.0 |
|
World economy growth rate, %
|
|
Variant |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
|
World
|
Basic |
3.1 |
-0.6 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
|
Conservative |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
|||
|
U.S.
|
Basic |
1.1 |
-2.4 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
|
Conservative |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
|||
|
Euro zone
|
Basic |
0.9 |
-4.1 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
|
Conservative |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
|||
|
China
|
Basic |
9.2 |
8.7 |
9.6 |
8.9 |
8.6 |
7.2 |
|
Conservative |
9.6 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
Forecast of world oil supply and demand
(millions of barrels per day)
|
|
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
|
World supply |
85.46 |
84.23 |
85.85 |
86.91 |
|
World demand |
85.76 |
28.02 |
85.59 |
87.20 |
|
Reserves |
-0.30 |
0.21 |
0.25 |
-0.29 |
|
World WTI oil market price, dollars per barrel |
94.3 |
59.2 |
80.1 |
83.5 |
Internal conditions for designing possibilities of social and economic development
Demographic trends
After a prolonged period of having a shrinking population, the Russian Federation is seeing a reversal of this trend: in 2010, the population will be 142 million compared to 141.9 million in 2009.
The scenario conditions assume the dynamics of demographic indicators proceeding from the optimistic possibility of the Rosstat forecast through 2030 which corresponds to the Demographic Policy Concept lasting until 2025. The permanent population in 2013 will increase to 142.9 million.
Successful implementation of demographic programmes to stimulate birthrate would increase the birthrate from 12.4 per thousand in 2009 to 13 per thousand in 2013. Also, the consolidation of resources with the National Health Project, a number of federal programmes and measures outside the programmes would reduce the death rate from 14.2 per thousand in 2009 to 13.4 in 2013.
In spite of the growth of the permanent population, the size of the working-age population in this period will diminish (by an annual 0.8-1.1 million). The size of the economically active population, even with a positive migration balance and with a continued high level of economic activity of the population, will drop by 0.5 million within 4 years.
Prices and tariffs for the products (services) provided by natural monopolies
The priority task of the tariff policy in 2010-2013 is to limit the growth of prices and tariffs of natural monopolies (even as these areas are further liberalized) in order to relieve the burden on consumers.
The main macroeconomic parameters of economic development in 2011-2013
Under the basic scenario, the Russian economy will develop after the crisis in a relatively favourable situation in the world commodity and capital markets when consumer demand and demand for investments will grow. Consumer demand will be driven by the rising incomes and the diminished desire to save. The growth of investments in basic assets will be supported by massive investment programmes of the natural monopolies and an improved situation with bank loans. Considerable risks are connected with shrinking public demand and the strengthening of the rouble as well as the continuing stagnation of lending from banks.
The GDP is forecast at 3.1-4% in 2010, 2.6-3.4% in 2011-2012 and 3.1-4.2% in 2013. The achievement of the upper limit corresponds to the conditions under possibility 2.b.
In 2010, internal demand in real terms will increase by 6.8%, above all due to the restoration of inventory as well as increased consumption driven by rising incomes. In 2011-2013, the growth of internal demand will slow down as the recovery growth of inventory is exhausted and will amount to 5-6% a year, while investment demand will grow. Investments are forecast to grow by 8.8% in 2011, 6.3% in 2012 and 8.1% in 2013. After the drop of the share of equity in sources of investment financing to 36.3% in 2009, the share will increase in the period that has been forecast, but may fail to reach the pre-crisis level (more than 40%) by 2013. Bank loans to businesses are expected to grow in double digit proportions (from 13-15% in 2010 to more than 30% in 2013), and their share in the total volume of investments in 2013 may rebound to the 2008 level (11%). In the mid-range stage, state capital investments in real terms are expected to grow, but their share in the structure of investment sources will continue to fall. In 2010-2011, investments in the basic assets of natural monopolies are expected to soar (by 25% in 2010 and 44% in 2011), mainly due to the sharp growth of investments by Gazprom (by 40% in 2010 and by 2.2 times in 2011).
The implementation of major oil and gas production projects and the building of pipelines are expected (the comprehensive programme to develop the fields on Yamal Peninsula envisages more than 440 billion roubles investments in basic assets in 2011). In addition, major investment projects in 2011 will be implemented in the automotive industry and investments in the basic capital of production of transport may grow by more than 75%. Investment activities in other sectors are expected to pick up beginning from 2012 (investments may grow by 115% in 2012 and 110% in 2013). In the mid-range of the forecast, the growth of inward investment will outstrip the growth of investments in basic assets.
As unemployment falls and real incomes rise, retail sales will grow by 4.5-4.8% in 2010-2012 and 6.3% in 2013. The growth of internal demand will be driven by an even higher growth of import, which is expected to grow by an annual average of 10.4% in 2011-2013. However, in spite of the faster growth of the volume of imports compared with domestic production, a change of relative prices in favour of domestic goods and the expansion of services will increase the share of domestic products in meeting internal demand. The share of imports in covering the growing internal demand under the basic possibility will drop to 30% by 2013, which is below the level of the pre-crisis year 2008 (39.7%).
Beginning from 2010, the contribution of the net export to GDP growth will again be negative. In 2011-2013, exports are expected to grow by 1% a year due to a high share of fuel and energy, but the potential for export growth in this area has been exhausted. The resumption of the growth of world prices for the main Russian exports in 2011-2013 will not compensate for the drop they experienced in 2009 by 1.5-2 times. That will reduce the proportion of exports in the GDP from 31% in 2008 to 21.3% in 2013.
The trade balance in 2011 is estimated at $110 billion, and is expected to remain positive (probably at $78 billion) through 2013.
In 2012, the GDP will reach a new high and in 2013 the GDP is expected to be 6.8% above the level in pre-crisis year 2008.
Under the basic possibility, the industrial output growth rate in 2010-2013 will be 2.7-4.2%. By the end of the forecast period, industrial output will reach the pre-crisis level and will be at 101-102% of the 2008 level. In this case, structural changes will take place. Because of growing consumer demand and import substitution in the total industrial output, the share of the food industry and light industry will increase (by 2013 output in these sectors in real terms will reach 109-115% of the 2008 level). Increased exports and meeting domestic demand may drive the production of chemicals in 2013 to 109-112% of the 2008 level. The fuel and energy sector (which shrank by less than 2% during the crisis) will develop against the background of steady and slow growth of demand as the economy’s energy efficiency increases; by 2013, output may reach 102-104% of the 2008 level. By the end of the forecast period, production of intermediate commodities will approach the pre-crisis level. The share of investment in the total industrial output will drop. In spite of measures to support domestic machine-building and the high growth rate of production that has been predicted, by 2013 the output of the machine-building industry is not expected to exceed 95-96% of the 2008 level. There is a risk that the construction materials industry will stagnate by the end of the forecast period where the volume of output in real terms may be 15-18% less than in the pre-crisis level.
In 2011-2013, agriculture will see a stable growth of domestic and external demand, and it may see a sustained growth of plant growing and in increase in raising poultry and pigs. There is a risk that the reverberations of the crisis may make dairy business and livestock breeding seem less attractive for investment and the dynamic growth of these sectors will be stalled. The rate of growth of agricultural production is projected at 2.8-2.9% a year.
Dynamics of the main macroeconomic indicators (2008- 100%)
|
|
2009 |
2013 |
|||
|
2c |
2b |
1b |
1a |
||
|
GDP Industry Investments Retail trade Real wages Export* Import* |
92.1 89.2 83.8 95.1 97.2 96.7 66.2 |
108.3 103.0 110.6 117.8 111.1 105.0 116.2 |
106.8 101.6 107.8 115.6 108.9 104.1 107.7 |
103.2 98.8 96.2 112.4 106.1 102.6 98.3 |
102.1 97.2 91.9 108.9 105.2 99.7 88.2 |
* Physical volume index
Thus, in accordance with all the forecast possibilities, the GDP in 2013 will exceed that of 2008. All the scenarios considered are conservative in character and do not assume that the Russian economy will hit a 5% growth trajectory during the forecast period.
2. Implementation of the federal budget in the first quarter of 2010
I. Overall parameters of the implementation of the federal budget
During the first quarter of 2010, the GDP amounted to 9.6 trillion roubles, an increase of 4.5% over the same period of last year. During the first quarter of 2010, consumer prices for goods and services increased by an average of 3.2%.
Federal budget revenues in the first quarter of 2010 amounted to 1.95 trillion roubles. Federal budget spending in the period reported in terms of cash amounted to 2.19 trillion roubles. And the federal budget deficit amounted to 244.6 billion roubles.
II. Federal budget revenues
Out of the total federal budget revenues of 1.95 trillion roubles, taxes accounted for 54.3% and non-tax revenues for 45.7%. Most of the federal budget revenue was generated by the value-added tax (31.3%), customs duties (34.0%), tax on the extraction of minerals (17.1%) and profit tax (2.4%).
1. The federal budget tax revenues in the first quarter of 2010 amounted to 1.06 trillion roubles, which is 281.7 billion roubles or 36.1% more than the sum predicted in the forecast for the first quarter of 2010.
The bulk of the federal budget tax revenue was provided by value-added tax (57.6% of the total tax revenues), the tax on the extraction of minerals (31.4%), the tax on the profits of organizations (4.4%), and excise on excisable goods (2.9%).
2. The federal budget non-tax revenues in the first quarter of 2010 amounted to 893.4 billion roubles, which is 128.8 billion roubles or 16.9% more than the sum predicted in the forecast for the first quarter of 2010. In the framework of non-tax revenues, the revenues from customs duties amounted to 74.4%, revenues from managing the Reserve Fund and the Fund of National Wealth accounted for 11.1% of the total non-tax revenues.
III. Federal budget spending.
1. The cash spending of the federal budget in the period reported amounted to 2.19 trillion roubles or 22.2% of the updated itemized budget for 2010. The first quarter of 2010 had the largest level of implementation of spending of the federal budget in recent years: 22.2% of the updated budget ( 1.33 trillion roubles or 17.2% in the first quarter of 2008 and 1.76 trillion roubles or 18.9% of the updated budget in the first quarter of 2009).
2. Cash outlays toward the implementation of priority national projects in the period reported amounted to 50.1 billion roubles (13.5% of the updated budget), which was divided among projects:
(billion roubles, in % of updated budget)
|
Name of Priority National Project |
First quarter of 2010 |
|
Healthcare |
14.9 (11.7) |
|
Affordable and comfortable housing |
12.1 (9.7) |
|
Education |
1.2 (7.3) |
In addition, under the project, the Development of the Agro-Industrial Complex, which is being implemented as part of the state programme of the Development of Agriculture and Regulation of Markets in Agricultural Produce, Raw Materials and Food for 2008-2012, spending amounted to 21.9 billion roubles in the first quarter of 2010 (21.2% of the updated budget report).
IV. The volume of public debt as of April 1, 2010 was 3.24 trillion roubles.
The aggregate volume of the Reserve Fund was 1.55 trillion roubles and the aggregate Fund of National Wealth was 2.63 roubles as of April 1, 2010. The Reserve Fund diminished by 277.2 billion roubles and the Fund of National Wealth by 138.7 billion roubles in the first quarter of 2010.
3. Adjustment of the Master Plan for the Location of Electrical Power Facilities until 2012
The master plan for the location of power facilities determines the development of the power industry for the long term (up to 15 years). And it lists the generating and power grid facilities by energy system across the territorial subjects of the Russian Federation with a statement on the date of the commission of the energy facilities and their parameters.
The Energy Ministry has monitored the Master Plan for the Location of Power Facilities until 2012 and the ministry has determined that the plan needs to be adjusted because of the following substantial divergences between the target of the current master plan and the actual plans of the energy companies to develop the power industry, including:
- more moderate predicted growth of power consumption as a result of proposed large-scale measures to cut the energy intensity of the country’s economy and increase energy efficiency;
- financial difficulties and budget deficits of private power companies;
- lack of economic incentives for energy companies to dismantle and replace inefficient equipment;
- a substantial growth of capital investment per unit in the building of new generating capacity;
- a substantial drop in the actual commissioning of generating capacity.
The adjustment of the master plan is to set benchmarks for the creation of a reliable, competitive, effective and environmentally friendly power industry to meet the targets of the Energy Strategy of Russia until 2030.
For the power industry to develop toward the parameters that have been set the following tasks need to be accomplished:
- The large-scale modernization of the Russian power industry and its rise to a new technological level through the licensed development of new key energy technologies (in gas generation, effective gas-steam power plants with an efficiency of up to 60%, in coal generation the switch to ultra-critical parameters with an efficiency of up to 46%).
- Increased reliability, economic and energy efficiency of the sector on the basis of an optimal combination of large, systemically important generating facilities and power grids and dedicated small and medium-sized power sources located close to the consumers on the basis of having local fuel and renewable energy sources;
- Development and modernization of UES Russia on the basis of smart AC and DC power grids, total integration of the European, Siberian and Far Eastern power grids, and improved accident management.
- Reduction of the negative impacts of electricity on the environment.
To determine the extent of future demand for electricity and power, as part of making adjustments to the master plan, the following will be considered: the concept of Long-term Social and Economic Development of the Russian Federation in the Period until 2020 and the Energy Strategy of Russia in the Period until 2030. The adjustments will also take into account the main parameters of the forecast for the social-economic development of the Russian Federation until 2030 developed by the Ministry of Economic Development. This is a long-term forecast for the demand for electricity and power that has been developed and which predicts two possibilities of the growth of power consumption in the period lasting until 2030: the maximum in the amount of 1.86 trillion kilowatt/hours a year (with an average annual growth rate of 3.1%) and the basic with 1.55 trillion kilowatt/hours a year (with an annual growth of 2.2%).
The optimization of the structure of generating capacity and determining the location of various types of generation by power grid in the period lasting until 2030 predicts two possibilities for the development of power consumption (maximum and basic) proceeding from the proposals of companies and regional administrations of the Russian Federation. This will take into account the contracts signed for the availability of capacity, the projected dismantling of inefficient equipment, the need for new generating capacity and the effectiveness of newly introduced facilities.
As a result, when adjusting the master plan, a reasonable arrangement approximating the optimal one has been proposed; it takes into account the real potential of energy companies.
The total volume of generating capacity that has been recommended for dismantling in 2010-2030 is 67.7 million kilowatts.
The total volume of newly introduced capacity at nuclear, hydroelectric and hydro accumulating power plants, thermal power plants and renewable energy power stations (hereinafter RES), that have been recommended for launching in 2010-2030 in Russia is 173.4 million kilowatts under the basic possibility of power consumption and 228.5 million kilowatts under the maximum possibility.
The adjusted master plan lists the power facilities:
- existing and proposed power plants have an installed capacity of 500,000 kW plus for thermal power plants and 100,000 kW plus for nuclear plants, RES, hydroelectric power stations and hydro accumulating power plants;
- existing and proposed power grids have a voltage of 330 kW and more as well as the grids required for power plants with a capacity in excess of 1,000,000 kW.
The following procedures are proposed for the implementation of the master plan:
- The main provisions of the master plan are to be taken into account in designing the plan and the programme for the development of UES Russia, the investment programme of generating and power grid companies and the programmes of Russian regions;
- The formation on the basis of the master plan for federal territorial planning of the power industry for the purpose of quickly arranging sites for the construction of energy facilities;
- The development and adoption of a programme of modernization of the power industry;
- Promotion of new technologies;
- Conclusion of “take or pay” contracts between generating companies and major consumers that envisage financial liability for the declared increase of power consumption and the introduction of facilities according to the master plan schedule;
- Updating the rules for the wholesale market to increase differentiation between day and night prices of electricity as well as introducing a market of systemic services to ensure that hydroelectric pumped storage power plants pay their way. Also, instituting the mandatory use of the power of thermal plants for heating to enhance the economic effectiveness of thermal plants and stimulate the development of co-generation, to encourage the removal of obsolete equipment by allowing only insured power plants to operate in the wholesale market.
4. Draft Federal Law On Introducing Amendments to Certain Legislative Acts of the Russian Federation in connection with the adoption of the Federal Law On Information, Information Technologies and Information Protection. This draft federal law has been submitted by the Ministry of Telecommunications and the Media.
The draft law would establish a system of communication and introduce changes in the concepts of some legislative acts of the Russian Federation that have to do with information technologies, information protection, transmission, production and dissemination of information in connection with the adoption of the Federal Law On Information, Information Technologies and Information Protection.
5. Draft Federal Law On Introducing an Amendment to Article 11 of the Federal Law On Investment Activities in the Russian Federation in the Form of Capital Investment.
This draft federal law has been submitted by the Ministry of Economic Development.
Under this draft federal law the provision whereby a form of government participation in investment activities, that of creating a list of construction sites and retrofitting facilities for federal needs, is to be dropped from subclause 2 of Clause 2, Article 11 of the Federal Law On Investment Activities in the Russian Federation. And a new rule will be established that envisages the annual formation of the next fiscal year and the planning period of a federal targeted investment programme. It also provides for approval for the federal executive body to perform the functions of laying down state policy and legal regulation in the sphere of investment activities as well as the implementation of that programme under the procedure established by the government of the Russian Federation.
The above amendment has been prompted by the need to harmonize this federal law with the requirements of the budget legislation.
6. Draft Federal Law On Introducing Amendments to the Federal Law On Science and State Science and Technology Policy and the Tax Code of the Russian Federation to Determine the Legal Status of the Funds in Support of Scientific, Technical and Innovation Activities.
This draft federal law has been submitted by the Ministry of Education and Science.
The draft law regulates one form of state support in financing scientific, technical and innovative activities through corresponding state funds. It is aimed at streamlining the system for the provision of tax breaks, the definition of their legal status and the organisational structure as well as of requirements for the selection of projects to be financed by the funds.
The amendments proposed to the law on science establish that the activities of funds aim to support not only scientific or technical development, but also innovative activities. The draft law defines this type of activity.
The draft law stipulates that state funds act like state budget institutions. Legal entities or individuals may create funds in support of scientific, technical and innovative activities whose legal status is determined under the federal law On Non-Profit Organisations.
The draft law determines the special features of the structure of managing bodies of state funds and makes it mandatory to have the applications for funding of scientific, technical and innovative projects assessed by experts.
The draft law determines the general principles of the procedure and conditions of tenders conducted by state funds for financing of scientific, technical and innovation projects, including general requirements for the expert review of the bids entered.
The draft law introduces amendments to the Tax Code of the Russian Federation, establishing a system of tax incentives for funds created in accordance with law on science. Non-taxable incomes include the resources received from the funds created under the law on science as well as resources allocated for the formation of such funds (Article 251 of the Tax Code). Articles 262 and 270 of the Tax Code introduce amendments that recognize the reserves transferred for the purpose of forming such funds.
7. Draft Federal Law On Introducing Amendments to the Federal Law On Additional Measures of State Support for Families with Children and On the Procedure of Providing Lump Sum Payment out of the Maternity (Family) Capital.
This draft law would introduce amendments to the federal law On Additional Measures of State Support for Families with Children by granting the right to use all or a part of the maternity (family) capital for the construction or reconstruction of individual homes without bringing in specialized contractors as well as shortening the lag between the time of application for maternity capital and the remittance of corresponding funds. In addition, the draft law allows citizens in 2010 to receive lump sum payments of 12,000 roubles out of the maternity (family) capital (this social support measure was in action in 2009).
8. Draft Federal Law On Introducing Amendments to Article 12 of the Federal Law On Insurance Contributions to the Pension Fund of the Russian Federation, the Social Insurance Fund of the Russian Federation, the Federal Mandatory Medical Insurance Fund and the Regional Mandatory Medical Insurance Funds.
This draft law would increase the tariff of insurance contributions to the Federal Mandatory Medical Insurance Fund from 2.1 to 3.1% as of January 1, 2011 established under the federal law On Introducing Amendments to Article 12 of the Federal Law On Insurance Contributions to the Pension Fund of the Russian Federation, the Social Insurance Fund of the Russian Federation, the Federal Mandatory Medical Insurance Fund and the Regional Mandatory Medical Insurance Funds. The tariff of insurance contributions to the territorial funds for mandatory medical insurance is cut by 1%, which matches the 2010 level (2%).
The adoption of the proposed amendments, according to the Ministry of Healthcare and Social Development, will ensure additional revenues of 214.8 billion roubles for the budget of the Federal Mandatory Medical Insurance Fund in 2011 compared to 2010 funding and a further 245.2 billion roubles in 2012.
Additional funds in the amount of 460 billion roubles will be allocated to form a reserve for financing regional programmes of modernization of healthcare, co-financing of medical assistance to non-working pensioners, the development of an information system for health services and payment for medical assistance with due account of the increase in financial provision of standards of its rendering.
9. Draft Federal Law On Introducing Amendments to the Federal Law On the Status of a Member of the Federation Council and the Status of a Deputy of the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This draft executive order has been submitted by the Ministry of Healthcare and Social Development.
The draft law is aimed at improving social guarantees in the provision of pensions for retired persons who were members of the Federation Council and the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
10. Draft Federal Law On Introducing Amendments to Certain Legislative Acts of the Russian Federation Concerning Administrative Expulsion from the Russian Federation of Foreign Citizens and Stateless Persons who have Committed Offenses Related to Trafficking in Narcotics, Psychotropic Substances and their Precursors.
This draft law has been submitted by the Federal Drug Control Service.
A review of the current situation has revealed that foreign citizens and stateless persons are being actively used to deliver wholesale batches of narcotics as well as to retail narcotics.
Citizens of the Central Asian region, mainly from Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, and from the Caucasus Region, the citizens of Azerbaijan, are actively involved in drug trafficking.
Entering Russia ostensibly as migrants, such foreign citizens as a rule do not work anywhere while moving freely over Russian territory. In addition, the people involved in drug trafficking are often themselves drug users.
The current situation has led to growing drug use in the Russian Federation which has exacerbated the problem with drug addiction in society and has been a serious factor in the deteriorating demographic situation.
According to the Federal Drug Control Service, the number of migrants who have been penalized for the trafficking, consumption or promotion of narcotics has been increasing (132 in 2004, 146 in 2005, 195 in 2006, 211 in 2007, 239 in 2008 and 221 in nine months of 2009).
An analysis of the laws of the Russian Federation and enforcement practices suggests that it would be practical to expel the migrants engaged in drug trafficking.
The draft law proposes amendments to the Federal Law On Narcotics and Psychotropic Substances with provisions whereby foreign citizens and stateless persons who have committed administrative offenses connected with drug trafficking may be forbidden to enter the Russian Federation and that such persons may be expelled from the Russian Federation.
The draft law envisages that foreign citizens and stateless persons may be expelled from the Russian Federation for committing administrative offenses stipulated under Articles 6.8 Trafficking in Narcotics, Psychotropic Substances or Analogues Thereof, 6.9 Consumption of Narcotics or Psychotropic Substances without Prescription and 6.13 Promotion of Narcotics, Psychotropic Substances and their Precursors of the Code on Administrative Offenses.
11. Approval of the technical rules on the safety of railway rolling stock.
This draft resolution has been developed in accordance with the federal law On Technical Regulation.
The draft resolution approves technical rules for the safety of the rolling stock and set mandatory requirements to the rolling stock and its parts in development (modernization). And it approves rules for the introduction on the territory of the Russian Federation for use on standard and non-standard gauge (1,520 mm) with a speed of up to 200 km/h.
The technical rules pursue the following goals:
- to protect the life and health of citizens, the property of legal entities and individuals, federal and municipal property;
- to protect the environment, the life and health of animals and plants;
- to prevent actions that mislead consumers.
To achieve the goals set under the technical rules in line with the requirements of the federal law On Technical Regulation:
- the scope of application of the technical rules is determined, the list of concepts and their definitions is provided;
- functional requirements to the railway stock in terms of safety are established;
- the procedure of evaluating compliance of railway rolling stock has been determined;
- the final and transitional provisions determining the procedure of the application of the technical rules have been determined.
12. Approving the technical rules on the safety of railway transport infrastructure.
The draft has been developed in accordance with the federal law On Technical Regulation.
The draft resolution approves the technical rules on railway transport infrastructure safety.
The technical rules establish the requirements for the infrastructure of railway transport during the design process (including research), building, approval and introduction of railway transport infrastructure facilities (components of subsystems of railway transport infrastructure or the totality thereof) as well as in production, assembly, repair, assessment of compliance of products (elements of components of subsystems of railway transport infrastructure or the totality thereof) for the purpose of safety.
The technical rules are aimed at achieving the following goals:
- protecting the life and health of citizens, the property of legal entities or individuals, federal or municipal property;
- protecting the environment, the life and health of animals and plants;
- preventing actions that mislead consumers.
To achieve the goals set under the technical rules in line with the requirements of the federal law On Technical Regulation:
- the scope of application of the technical rules is determined, the list of concepts and their definitions is provided;
- functional requirements to railway transport infrastructure in terms of safety are established;
- the procedure of evaluating compliance of railway transport infrastructure facilities has been determined;
- the final and transitional provisions determining the procedure of the application of the technical rules have been determined.
13. Approving technical rules on safety of high-speed railway transport.
This draft resolution has been developed in accordance with the federal law On Technical Regulation.
The draft resolution approves the technical rules of safety of high-speed railway transport that establish mandatory requirements for use in the design process (including research, production, building, assembly, repair, approval and introduction of the infrastructure facilities of high-speed railway transport as well as in assessing the compliance of products).
The technical rules are aimed at achieving the following goals:
- protecting the life and health of citizens, the property of legal entities and individuals, federal or municipal property;
- protecting the environment, the life and health of animals and plants;
- preventing actions that mislead consumers.
To achieve the goals set under the technical rules in line with the requirements of the federal law On Technical Regulation:
- the scope of application of the technical rules is determined, the list of concepts and their definitions is provided;
- functional requirements to the railway rolling stock in terms of safety are established;
- the procedure of evaluating compliance of products has been determined;
- the final and transitional provisions determining the procedure of the application of the technical rules have been determined.
14. Introducing amendments to some acts of the government of the Russian Federation (concerning the authority to ensure the safety of navigational hydro-engineering facilities).
This draft resolution has been prepared by the Ministry of Transport to determine the federal executive body that will perform the functions of laying down government policy and legal regulations in maintenance and ensuring the safety of navigational hydro-engineering facilities.
Under the federal law On the Safety of Hydro-engineering Facilities, the government of the Russian Federation develops and implements state policy for hydro-engineering safety. Under the statute on the Ministry of Natural Resources and the Environment, approved by the resolution of the government of May 29, 2008 No.404, that ministry is charged with developing state policy and legal regulations in the sphere of maintenance and ensuring the safety of hydro-engineering facilities (with the exception of navigational hydro-engineering facilities).
Thus, at present the law of the Russian Federation does not identify the federal executive body to perform the functions of working out government policy and legal regulations in the sphere of maintenance and ensuring the safety of navigational hydro-engineering facilities.
The draft resolution proposes to vest the Ministry of Transport with the function of working out the government policy and regulatory legal acts in the sphere of maintenance and ensuring the safety of navigational hydro-engineering facilities.
15. Introducing amendments to certain acts of the government of the Russian Federation (concerning a greater coordinating role for the Ministry of Regional Development of the Russian Federation in the preparation and implementation of comprehensive projects of social and economic development of the federal districts)
The draft resolution vests the Ministry of Regional Development with the functions of coordinating the development and implementation of comprehensive projects of social-economic development of the federal districts.
In regard to this, relevant amendments are to be introduced in the resolutions of the government of the Russian Federation of September 28, 2004 No.501 On the Ministry of Regional Development of the Russian Federation, of May 29, 2008 No.405 On Aspects of the Activities of the Ministry of Regional Development of the Russian Federation, of November 26, 2008 No.893 On the Fund of Remuneration of the Workers of Central Offices and Territorial Bodies of Federal Executive Bodies, the Statute on the Ministry of Regional Development of the Russian Federation approved by government resolution of January 26, 2005 No.40. Also to be introduced are the rules of approving investment programmes of the power industry facilities in whose authorized capitals the government has a stake and the power grids approved by government resolution of December 1, 2009 No.977 On Investment Programmes of the Power Industry Facilities.
In addition, the draft resolution declares null and void the executive order of the government of the Russian Federation of June 14, 2001 No.800-r On the Development, Approval and Implementation of Economic and Social Development Programmes of the Russian Federation.
16. Introducing amendments to the statute on the Ministry of Healthcare and Social Development of the Russian Federation.
This draft resolution has been submitted by the Ministry of Healthcare and Social Development. Under Article 251 of the federal law On the Basic Principles of the System of Preventing Homelessness and Juvenile Delinquency, the list of documents required to move between the regions of the Russian Federation minors who have left their families, children’s homes, boarding schools, special education and other children’s institutions as well as the conditions of transportation, the form and procedure of reporting activities related to transportation is approved by the federal executive body authorized by the government of the Russian Federation.
The draft resolution would introduce an amendment to the statute on the Ministry of Healthcare and Social Development of the Russian Federation approved by government resolution of June 30, 2004 No.321, to vest the Ministry of Healthcare and Social Development with authority to determine the list of documents required to move between the regions of the Russian Federation minors who have left their families, children’s homes, boarding schools, special education and other children’s institutions as well as the conditions of transportation, the form and procedure of reporting activities related to transportation.
17. Introducing an amendment to the statute on the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation.
This draft resolution has been submitted by the Ministry of Industry and Trade.
The draft resolution of the government of the Russian Federation introduces an amendment to Clause 1 of the statute on the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation approved by government resolution of June 5, 2008 No.438 whereby the spheres of public amenities and food services are added to the functions of the ministry involved in laying down government policy and legal regulation.
18. Introducing amendments to the statute on the Federal Agency for Technical Regulation and Metrology.
The draft resolution has been submitted by the Ministry of Industry and Trade.
The draft resolution shortens the name of Rostekhregulirovaniye to Rosstandart. The change was discussed at the meeting of the Commission on Modernization and Technological Development of the Russian Economy held in Lipetsk on January 20, 2010.
The draft resolution eliminates the discrepancy between the federal law On Technical Regulation and the statute on the Federal Agency for Technical Regulation and Metrology whereby the Ministry of Industry and Trade establishes the procedure of the performance by the Federal Agency for Technical Regulation and Metrology of the functions of the national standardization agency.
19. Introducing amendments to the statute on the Federal State Property Management Authority.
This draft resolution has been prepared by the Ministry of Economic Development in accordance with the government resolution of December 31, 2009 No.1188 On Introducing Amendments to Certain Acts of the Government of the Russian Federation.
Resolution No.1188 introduces amendments to the government resolutions of December 3, 2004 No.739 On the Powers of Federal Executive Bodies to Exercise the Rights of Owner of the Property of a Federal State Unitary Enterprise and of March 16, 2000, No.234 On the Procedure of Concluding Employment Contracts and Attestation of the Heads of Federal State Unitary Enterprises.
The adoption of this draft resolution would bring the statute on the Federal State Property Management Authority approved by the government resolution of June 5, 2008, No.432 in harmony with resolutions No.739 and No.1188.
The adopted changes broaden the powers of the federal executive bodies with respect to the federal state unitary enterprises included in the forecast plan (programme) of privatization (under Resolution 739 this is the function of Rosimushchestvo) as well as strengthen the supervisory functions of Rosimushchestvo with regard to the disposal, proper use and safety of federal property.
20. Introducing amendments to the statute on the Federal Antimonopoly Service.
This draft resolution has been submitted by the Federal Antimonopoly Service.
Under the federal law On Introducing Amendments to the Federal Law On Protecting Competition and certain legislative acts of the Russian Federation, amendments are introduced to the federal law On Protecting Competition. These amendments replace the term “state or municipal assistance” with the term “state or municipal preference”, establish the procedure of granting state and municipal preferences and broaden the list of subjects that may offer such preferences, which is why the draft resolution introduces corresponding amendments to Clause 5.3.3.3 of the statute on the Federal Antimonopoly Service.
In addition, the federal law changes the name of the register of business entities which have a more than 35% share of the market of a certain good or are dominant in the market of a certain good if the federal laws envisages cases when business entities are recognized as dominant in such a market, which requires a corresponding amendment to be introduced in the statute of the Federal Antimonopoly Service.
The draft resolution would also add several new powers envisaged under the federal law to the statute on the FAS, including the powers to monitor the provision of state or municipal preferences, approval of the procedure of merging several cases on the violation of antimonopoly laws as well as isolation of separate cases.
The draft resolution is in line with the measures stipulated by the guidelines of the activities of the government of the Russian Federation until 2012 pertaining to the creation of an effective law enforcement mechanism for the protection of competition and antimonopoly regulation.
The implementation of the draft resolution would enable the antimonopoly body to more effectively perform its functions of supervision and control of compliance with antimonopoly laws. And it would not entail a change in the scope of authority and (or) competence of the executive bodies of the Russian Federation and local government bodies, and it would not require additional allocations from the corresponding budgets and reduction of their revenues.
21. Introducing amendments to the statute on the Federal Tariffs Service.
The draft resolution has been submitted by the Federal Tariffs Service.
Under the current legislation of the Russian Federation, including the federal law On the Power Industry, electricity is supplied to consumers (other than households) partially at regulated prices (tariffs) and partially at free (market) prices.
It has to be noted that the increase of the share of free (unregulated) market in which tariffs are generally higher than in the regulated sector determines the change of electricity tariffs for end users.
Under the rules of the wholesale market in electrical energy (capacity) in the transitional period beginning from January 1, 2011, electricity is fully supplied to consumers at free (unregulated) prices with the exception of supplies to households and isolated power grids.
The monitoring of tariffs (prices) for electricity consumers envisaged by the draft is a tool for revealing abrupt price changes in the wholesale and retail markets of electrical power (capacity) in order to prevent their negative consequences.
22. Allocation to the Defence Ministry of Russia of resources from the Reserve Fund of the government of the Russian Federation for government support for the interregional non-governmental organization Union of Veterans of the Western Group of Forces.
This draft executive order has been submitted by the Finance Ministry.
Under the draft, the Reserve Fund of the government of the Russian Federation will allocate 1.38 million roubles in 2010 for the Defence Ministry to provide assistance to the Union of Veterans to organize for a delegation of veterans to visit Berlin to attend events marking the 65th anniversary of the creation of the Soviet Army Group in Germany.
23. Issuing the government of the Republic of Dagestan state housing certificates to be distributed among citizens who have lost their homes as a result of the heavy rains in the Republic of Dagestan in September 2009.
The draft executive order would charge the Finance Ministry with issuing, in 2010, the government of the Republic of Dagestan 501 state housing certificates to be made available to the citizens who lost their homes as a result of heavy rains on the territory of the Republic of Dagestan in September 2009.
The cost of 501 state housing certificates may amount to 1.39 billion roubles, according to estimates made by the Finance Ministry.
In accordance with the rules of the issue and cashing of state housing certificates issued to citizens of the Russian Federation who lost their homes as a result of emergencies or natural disasters (approved by government resolution of October 9, 1995 No.982), these state housing certificates are cashed by the budget allocations from the Reserve Fund of the government of the Russian Federation for the prevention of emergency situations and disaster relief.
24. Allocation to the government of the Republic of Ingushetia of resources from the Reserve Fund of the government of the Russian Federation for the prevention of emergency situations and disaster relief.
As a result of a terrorist attack in the city of Nazran on August 17, 2009, citizens sustained injuries of varying degrees of severity, houses and infrastructure were damaged and the property of citizens was damaged. Under Article 18 of the federal law On Counteracting Terrorism, compensation is provided to legal entities and individuals who have sustained damage in terrorist attacks under a procedure established by the government of the Russian Federation.
Under the draft executive order, 72.7 million roubles are to be allocated in 2010 to the government of the Republic of Ingushetia from the Reserve Fund of the government of the Russian Federation for the prevention of emergency situations and disaster relief.
Moscow,
June 2, 2010
Press releases by the Department of Press Service and Information contain the materials submitted by the executive federal bodies for discussion by the Government of the Russian Federation.